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	<title>Comments on: Bush Talks Long-Term Stay in Iraq and More Troops Die</title>
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	<description>a radical newsletter in the struggle for peace and social justice</description>
	<pubDate>Tue, 06 Jan 2009 15:23:22 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: atheo</title>
		<link>http://www.dissidentvoice.org/2007/06/bush-talks-long-term-stay-in-iraq-and-more-troops-die/#comment-1971</link>
		<dc:creator>atheo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Jun 2007 00:05:32 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>If the Bush regime wanted to transfer assets from the US treasury to big oil, they could more efficiently provide tax breaks or subsidies and skip all the damage to international relations and US military casualties.

Big oil's interests are being abused in these wars for Israel.
Iran is a thoroughly capitalist nation with multi-national corporate penetration.  US firms are losing market share.

Iran oil exports at risk in UK ship sanctions plan

 By Stefano Ambrogi 


LONDON (Reuters) - A British proposal to target Iran's national shipping lines under a draft U.N. sanctions resolution could temporarily curb Tehran's ability to export oil to world markets, maritime sources said on Tuesday. 

The confidential draft, obtained by Reuters on Friday, suggests denying rights of passage to Iranian merchant ships in foreign waters. The withdrawal of landing rights for Iranian aircraft is also suggested. 

The proposal would have countries "deny permission to take off from, land in or overfly their territories, or berth in or secure passage through their territorial waters, of all aircraft and vessels owned or controlled by Iranian airlines or shipping companies." 

Under the United Nations Law of the Sea Convention ships of all nations have the right of innocent passage through a country's territorial seas. U.N. member nations are bound to enforce Security Council resolutions once adopted. 

Oil shipping sources said on Tuesday that, if adopted, the proposal could have a short-term effect on Iran's ability to supply oil to world markets, even though U.S. and European officials insist it is not meant to target Iran's oil. 

"It's a question of logistics," said James Davis of Lloyd's Marine Intelligence Unit (LMIU) in London, a consultancy that tracks global oil tanker flows. 

SHORT-TERM IMPACT 

He said Iran could revert to the commercial shipping market to move its oil, thereby side-stepping the United Nations. 

"Whether there is enough tanker capacity to cover it is another question, but I think we are looking at a short-term impact," he said. 

The draft sanctions proposal is aimed at ratcheting up pressure on Iran for defying U.N. Security Council demands to halt uranium enrichment. 

Iran says its goal is peaceful generation of electricity. The West fears the enrichment is aimed at producing a nuclear weapon. 

Oil ship industry sources estimate that around 40 percent of Iran's crude oil exports are shipped on National Iranian Tanker Company (NITC) vessels. An NITC official contacted by Reuters in Tehran declined to say how much the state-owned fleet carried. 

Iran, OPEC's second largest producer, pumps 3.85 million barrels of crude a day and exports 2.4 million barrels of that on tankers by sea, with about 60 percent bound for Asia and the remainder shipped to Europe. 

Washington has banned U.S. companies from lifting Iranian oil and investing in Iran since 1995. 

"For 2007 we've observed under 40 percent of crude oil exports shipped on NITC vessels, mostly from Kharg Island in the Gulf," LMIU's Davis said. 

One of the biggest oil tanker firms operating in the Gulf estimated the figure to be 42 percent of exports. 

Davis said the remainder was moved by oil firms aboard their own supertanker fleets or aboard privately chartered vessels. 

"The main lifters are Japanese, Indian, Chinese, South Korean. A small amount goes to southern Europe," he said. 

A second proposal would target aircraft and vessels — including those operated by the Islamic of Republic of Iran Shipping Line and Iran Air Cargo — that traffic in goods banned under two previous U.N. resolutions. 

http://africa.reuters.com/world/news/usnL269674.html</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If the Bush regime wanted to transfer assets from the US treasury to big oil, they could more efficiently provide tax breaks or subsidies and skip all the damage to international relations and US military casualties.</p>
<p>Big oil&#8217;s interests are being abused in these wars for Israel.<br />
Iran is a thoroughly capitalist nation with multi-national corporate penetration.  US firms are losing market share.</p>
<p>Iran oil exports at risk in UK ship sanctions plan</p>
<p> By Stefano Ambrogi </p>
<p>LONDON (Reuters) - A British proposal to target Iran&#8217;s national shipping lines under a draft U.N. sanctions resolution could temporarily curb Tehran&#8217;s ability to export oil to world markets, maritime sources said on Tuesday. </p>
<p>The confidential draft, obtained by Reuters on Friday, suggests denying rights of passage to Iranian merchant ships in foreign waters. The withdrawal of landing rights for Iranian aircraft is also suggested. </p>
<p>The proposal would have countries &#8220;deny permission to take off from, land in or overfly their territories, or berth in or secure passage through their territorial waters, of all aircraft and vessels owned or controlled by Iranian airlines or shipping companies.&#8221; </p>
<p>Under the United Nations Law of the Sea Convention ships of all nations have the right of innocent passage through a country&#8217;s territorial seas. U.N. member nations are bound to enforce Security Council resolutions once adopted. </p>
<p>Oil shipping sources said on Tuesday that, if adopted, the proposal could have a short-term effect on Iran&#8217;s ability to supply oil to world markets, even though U.S. and European officials insist it is not meant to target Iran&#8217;s oil. </p>
<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s a question of logistics,&#8221; said James Davis of Lloyd&#8217;s Marine Intelligence Unit (LMIU) in London, a consultancy that tracks global oil tanker flows. </p>
<p>SHORT-TERM IMPACT </p>
<p>He said Iran could revert to the commercial shipping market to move its oil, thereby side-stepping the United Nations. </p>
<p>&#8220;Whether there is enough tanker capacity to cover it is another question, but I think we are looking at a short-term impact,&#8221; he said. </p>
<p>The draft sanctions proposal is aimed at ratcheting up pressure on Iran for defying U.N. Security Council demands to halt uranium enrichment. </p>
<p>Iran says its goal is peaceful generation of electricity. The West fears the enrichment is aimed at producing a nuclear weapon. </p>
<p>Oil ship industry sources estimate that around 40 percent of Iran&#8217;s crude oil exports are shipped on National Iranian Tanker Company (NITC) vessels. An NITC official contacted by Reuters in Tehran declined to say how much the state-owned fleet carried. </p>
<p>Iran, OPEC&#8217;s second largest producer, pumps 3.85 million barrels of crude a day and exports 2.4 million barrels of that on tankers by sea, with about 60 percent bound for Asia and the remainder shipped to Europe. </p>
<p>Washington has banned U.S. companies from lifting Iranian oil and investing in Iran since 1995. </p>
<p>&#8220;For 2007 we&#8217;ve observed under 40 percent of crude oil exports shipped on NITC vessels, mostly from Kharg Island in the Gulf,&#8221; LMIU&#8217;s Davis said. </p>
<p>One of the biggest oil tanker firms operating in the Gulf estimated the figure to be 42 percent of exports. </p>
<p>Davis said the remainder was moved by oil firms aboard their own supertanker fleets or aboard privately chartered vessels. </p>
<p>&#8220;The main lifters are Japanese, Indian, Chinese, South Korean. A small amount goes to southern Europe,&#8221; he said. </p>
<p>A second proposal would target aircraft and vessels — including those operated by the Islamic of Republic of Iran Shipping Line and Iran Air Cargo — that traffic in goods banned under two previous U.N. resolutions. </p>
<p><a href="http://africa.reuters.com/world/news/usnL269674.html" rel="nofollow">http://africa.reuters.com/world/news/usnL269674.html</a></p>
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		<title>By: atheo</title>
		<link>http://www.dissidentvoice.org/2007/06/bush-talks-long-term-stay-in-iraq-and-more-troops-die/#comment-1963</link>
		<dc:creator>atheo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Jun 2007 22:39:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dissidentvoice.org/2007/06/bush-talks-long-term-stay-in-iraq-and-more-troops-die/#comment-1963</guid>
		<description>@ RLaing
If the war was intended as a method to transfer wealth from the US treasury to big oil, it would have to be compared to the much more efficient method of simply granting tax breaks or subsidies. These other methods involve no casualties or damage to US international relations.
Likewise, your suggestion that the US is so "strong" that it doesn't come under pressure to pay back the debt is illogical. If anything is a threat to the "corporate friendly social order" or the dollar it's the endless wars for Israeli dominance in the M.E.  US imperial interests and those of big oil are being sacrificed by the placement of barriers to economic activity in Iran (a thoroughly capitalist nation open to multinational penetration):

Iran oil exports at risk in UK ship sanctions plan

 By Stefano Ambrogi 

LONDON (Reuters) - A British proposal to target Iran's national shipping lines under a draft U.N. sanctions resolution could temporarily curb Tehran's ability to export oil to world markets, maritime sources said on Tuesday. 

The confidential draft, obtained by Reuters on Friday, suggests denying rights of passage to Iranian merchant ships in foreign waters. The withdrawal of landing rights for Iranian aircraft is also suggested. 

The proposal would have countries "deny permission to take off from, land in or overfly their territories, or berth in or secure passage through their territorial waters, of all aircraft and vessels owned or controlled by Iranian airlines or shipping companies." 

Under the United Nations Law of the Sea Convention ships of all nations have the right of innocent passage through a country's territorial seas. U.N. member nations are bound to enforce Security Council resolutions once adopted. 

Oil shipping sources said on Tuesday that, if adopted, the proposal could have a short-term effect on Iran's ability to supply oil to world markets, even though U.S. and European officials insist it is not meant to target Iran's oil. 

"It's a question of logistics," said James Davis of Lloyd's Marine Intelligence Unit (LMIU) in London, a consultancy that tracks global oil tanker flows. 

SHORT-TERM IMPACT 

He said Iran could revert to the commercial shipping market to move its oil, thereby side-stepping the United Nations. 

"Whether there is enough tanker capacity to cover it is another question, but I think we are looking at a short-term impact," he said. 

The draft sanctions proposal is aimed at ratcheting up pressure on Iran for defying U.N. Security Council demands to halt uranium enrichment. 

Iran says its goal is peaceful generation of electricity. The West fears the enrichment is aimed at producing a nuclear weapon. 

Oil ship industry sources estimate that around 40 percent of Iran's crude oil exports are shipped on National Iranian Tanker Company (NITC) vessels. An NITC official contacted by Reuters in Tehran declined to say how much the state-owned fleet carried. 

Iran, OPEC's second largest producer, pumps 3.85 million barrels of crude a day and exports 2.4 million barrels of that on tankers by sea, with about 60 percent bound for Asia and the remainder shipped to Europe. 

Washington has banned U.S. companies from lifting Iranian oil and investing in Iran since 1995. 

"For 2007 we've observed under 40 percent of crude oil exports shipped on NITC vessels, mostly from Kharg Island in the Gulf," LMIU's Davis said. 

One of the biggest oil tanker firms operating in the Gulf estimated the figure to be 42 percent of exports. 

Davis said the remainder was moved by oil firms aboard their own supertanker fleets or aboard privately chartered vessels. 

"The main lifters are Japanese, Indian, Chinese, South Korean. A small amount goes to southern Europe," he said. 

A second proposal would target aircraft and vessels — including those operated by the Islamic of Republic of Iran Shipping Line and Iran Air Cargo — that traffic in goods banned under two previous U.N. resolutions. 

http://africa.reuters.com/world/news/usnL269674.html</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@ RLaing<br />
If the war was intended as a method to transfer wealth from the US treasury to big oil, it would have to be compared to the much more efficient method of simply granting tax breaks or subsidies. These other methods involve no casualties or damage to US international relations.<br />
Likewise, your suggestion that the US is so &#8220;strong&#8221; that it doesn&#8217;t come under pressure to pay back the debt is illogical. If anything is a threat to the &#8220;corporate friendly social order&#8221; or the dollar it&#8217;s the endless wars for Israeli dominance in the M.E.  US imperial interests and those of big oil are being sacrificed by the placement of barriers to economic activity in Iran (a thoroughly capitalist nation open to multinational penetration):</p>
<p>Iran oil exports at risk in UK ship sanctions plan</p>
<p> By Stefano Ambrogi </p>
<p>LONDON (Reuters) - A British proposal to target Iran&#8217;s national shipping lines under a draft U.N. sanctions resolution could temporarily curb Tehran&#8217;s ability to export oil to world markets, maritime sources said on Tuesday. </p>
<p>The confidential draft, obtained by Reuters on Friday, suggests denying rights of passage to Iranian merchant ships in foreign waters. The withdrawal of landing rights for Iranian aircraft is also suggested. </p>
<p>The proposal would have countries &#8220;deny permission to take off from, land in or overfly their territories, or berth in or secure passage through their territorial waters, of all aircraft and vessels owned or controlled by Iranian airlines or shipping companies.&#8221; </p>
<p>Under the United Nations Law of the Sea Convention ships of all nations have the right of innocent passage through a country&#8217;s territorial seas. U.N. member nations are bound to enforce Security Council resolutions once adopted. </p>
<p>Oil shipping sources said on Tuesday that, if adopted, the proposal could have a short-term effect on Iran&#8217;s ability to supply oil to world markets, even though U.S. and European officials insist it is not meant to target Iran&#8217;s oil. </p>
<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s a question of logistics,&#8221; said James Davis of Lloyd&#8217;s Marine Intelligence Unit (LMIU) in London, a consultancy that tracks global oil tanker flows. </p>
<p>SHORT-TERM IMPACT </p>
<p>He said Iran could revert to the commercial shipping market to move its oil, thereby side-stepping the United Nations. </p>
<p>&#8220;Whether there is enough tanker capacity to cover it is another question, but I think we are looking at a short-term impact,&#8221; he said. </p>
<p>The draft sanctions proposal is aimed at ratcheting up pressure on Iran for defying U.N. Security Council demands to halt uranium enrichment. </p>
<p>Iran says its goal is peaceful generation of electricity. The West fears the enrichment is aimed at producing a nuclear weapon. </p>
<p>Oil ship industry sources estimate that around 40 percent of Iran&#8217;s crude oil exports are shipped on National Iranian Tanker Company (NITC) vessels. An NITC official contacted by Reuters in Tehran declined to say how much the state-owned fleet carried. </p>
<p>Iran, OPEC&#8217;s second largest producer, pumps 3.85 million barrels of crude a day and exports 2.4 million barrels of that on tankers by sea, with about 60 percent bound for Asia and the remainder shipped to Europe. </p>
<p>Washington has banned U.S. companies from lifting Iranian oil and investing in Iran since 1995. </p>
<p>&#8220;For 2007 we&#8217;ve observed under 40 percent of crude oil exports shipped on NITC vessels, mostly from Kharg Island in the Gulf,&#8221; LMIU&#8217;s Davis said. </p>
<p>One of the biggest oil tanker firms operating in the Gulf estimated the figure to be 42 percent of exports. </p>
<p>Davis said the remainder was moved by oil firms aboard their own supertanker fleets or aboard privately chartered vessels. </p>
<p>&#8220;The main lifters are Japanese, Indian, Chinese, South Korean. A small amount goes to southern Europe,&#8221; he said. </p>
<p>A second proposal would target aircraft and vessels — including those operated by the Islamic of Republic of Iran Shipping Line and Iran Air Cargo — that traffic in goods banned under two previous U.N. resolutions. </p>
<p><a href="http://africa.reuters.com/world/news/usnL269674.html" rel="nofollow">http://africa.reuters.com/world/news/usnL269674.html</a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: RLaing</title>
		<link>http://www.dissidentvoice.org/2007/06/bush-talks-long-term-stay-in-iraq-and-more-troops-die/#comment-1958</link>
		<dc:creator>RLaing</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Jun 2007 21:56:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dissidentvoice.org/2007/06/bush-talks-long-term-stay-in-iraq-and-more-troops-die/#comment-1958</guid>
		<description>The costs of the war exceed the present revenue stream, perhaps, but that is an argument against continuing the war only if the costs are paid by the same people who collect that profits, and that isn't true.  The public is on hook for the debt, if anyone is, but I don't imagine they'll be gettings cheques from the oil companies any time soon, or ever.

Anyway, strong countries don't come under the same pressures to meet debt obligations as weak countries do, and the U.S. is still extremely powerful.

There's a good deal more at stake here than just the profits from oil extraction directly, although that is obviously a large and important issue for U.S. elites.  Failure to assert military hegemony over ME energy reserves will also likely weaken the U.S. dollar, erode popular support for stratospheric military spending, and possibly damage or even destroy the existing corporate-friendly social order. 

As an aside, American soldiers are being killed because they are the instruments of occupation, not because of anything George Bush does nor does not say.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The costs of the war exceed the present revenue stream, perhaps, but that is an argument against continuing the war only if the costs are paid by the same people who collect that profits, and that isn&#8217;t true.  The public is on hook for the debt, if anyone is, but I don&#8217;t imagine they&#8217;ll be gettings cheques from the oil companies any time soon, or ever.</p>
<p>Anyway, strong countries don&#8217;t come under the same pressures to meet debt obligations as weak countries do, and the U.S. is still extremely powerful.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s a good deal more at stake here than just the profits from oil extraction directly, although that is obviously a large and important issue for U.S. elites.  Failure to assert military hegemony over ME energy reserves will also likely weaken the U.S. dollar, erode popular support for stratospheric military spending, and possibly damage or even destroy the existing corporate-friendly social order. </p>
<p>As an aside, American soldiers are being killed because they are the instruments of occupation, not because of anything George Bush does nor does not say.</p>
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		<title>By: atheo</title>
		<link>http://www.dissidentvoice.org/2007/06/bush-talks-long-term-stay-in-iraq-and-more-troops-die/#comment-1947</link>
		<dc:creator>atheo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Jun 2007 13:53:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dissidentvoice.org/2007/06/bush-talks-long-term-stay-in-iraq-and-more-troops-die/#comment-1947</guid>
		<description>Yes Kevin. "This occupation is becoming more difficult to justify." That's why the Bush regime is falling back on "war for oil" as a selling point for continued occupation. Left unstated is the fact that the US must spend 20 times the value of the extracted oil (spending which must be financed at rising rates of interest). The accumulating debt from this ongoing loss exacerbates the weakness of the market for treasuries which puts pressure on rates to rise further in a vicious circle and due to the fact that the debt is sold abroad itthreatens the dollar. Your analysis:

" the multi-decade long oil contracts that U.S. oil companies are negotiating"

only presents a small part of this picture. The part that the war mongers don't mind exposing. Americans have shown support for military action to preserve access to oil since the Carter doctrine. But this occupation isn't about preserving access to oil. Even the reserves of Iraqi oil are being overstated in a desperate attempt to justify maintaining the occupation:

Is the story of ‘massive untapped oil reserves’ fact or fictions?

 

By Sharif Ali

 

Azzaman, May 29, 2007

 

The restive Province of Anbar grabbed the headlines of world media recently. But the news, fortunately, was not related to the ongoing violence and ferocious resistance of U.S. occupation the province has been reputed for in the past four years.

 

Suddenly, world media focused their attention on significant oil reserves of 100 billion barrels. And where? In the western desert and specifically in Ramadi Province.

 

The reports ostensibly left no doubt that the province sits on gigantic oil fields which, if exploited, would place Iraq ahead of Saudi Arabia as he world’s top oil producer.

 

The reports were based on a study by energy analysts I.H.S.

 

The figures took Iraqi oil experts and analysts by surprise and they have their own reasons to be suspicious of the estimates and the timing of their announcement.

 

The Province of Anbar is Iraq’s largest, occupying 31.1 percent of Iraq’s area of 434,934 square kilometers.

 

The province, the scourge of U.S. invasion troops, is inhabited by 1.3 million people and more than 95 percent of its land is barren desert.

 

Iraq Petroleum Company (IPC) carried out seismic surveys of the province and dug numerous oil wells between 1955 and 1061.

 

The National oil Company made its own surveys which continued for over two decades and only came to a halt after the imposition of punitive U.N. trade sanctions in 1990.

 

During the same period major oil firms like ExxonMobil, Japex (Japan Petroleum Exploration), Ascom, Petronas and Repsol made extensive surveys through joint agreements signed with the Ministry of Oil.

 

The reports of all these surveys, which are part of the Oil Ministry’s archives, were discouraging and could not come up with categorical results that the western desert, that is the area falling within the provincial borders of Anbar, holds substantial oil or gas reserves.

 

That conclusion was substantiated by an article in MEES, the authoritative Middle East Economic Survey, in a report about the results of 2004 surveys by American geological groups which said the area’s oil reserves run between half a billion and one billion and a half of proven reserves.

 

Brushing all these findings aside, the U.S. energy analysts I.H.S., for reasons yet to be uncovered, reveals surprising and shocking figures of estimates totaling 100 billion barrels.

 

Who are we to believe? Is it logical and sane to doubt the surveys by IPC, the National Oil Company, giant foreign oil firms and recent surveys by U.S. groups and believe the I.H.S?

 

I.H.S. report smacks of politicization. It was written and made public with the aim of pacifying the violent and restive province by telling its rebellious population it is better for them to lay down their arms and make use of their oil riches under the new oil law and federal system.

 

But the powers that inspired the I.H.S. report forget that one major reason for the Iraqis frustration and disillusionment is the oil law in its current form and the federal system.

 

Whatever oil is there in Iraq belongs to Iraqis as a nation the fruits of which will have to be reaped by the country at large and not its federated provinces.

 

Note: The writer is an expert in Iraqi oil reserves and served as a director-general at the Oil Ministry.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yes Kevin. &#8220;This occupation is becoming more difficult to justify.&#8221; That&#8217;s why the Bush regime is falling back on &#8220;war for oil&#8221; as a selling point for continued occupation. Left unstated is the fact that the US must spend 20 times the value of the extracted oil (spending which must be financed at rising rates of interest). The accumulating debt from this ongoing loss exacerbates the weakness of the market for treasuries which puts pressure on rates to rise further in a vicious circle and due to the fact that the debt is sold abroad itthreatens the dollar. Your analysis:</p>
<p>&#8221; the multi-decade long oil contracts that U.S. oil companies are negotiating&#8221;</p>
<p>only presents a small part of this picture. The part that the war mongers don&#8217;t mind exposing. Americans have shown support for military action to preserve access to oil since the Carter doctrine. But this occupation isn&#8217;t about preserving access to oil. Even the reserves of Iraqi oil are being overstated in a desperate attempt to justify maintaining the occupation:</p>
<p>Is the story of ‘massive untapped oil reserves’ fact or fictions?</p>
<p>By Sharif Ali</p>
<p>Azzaman, May 29, 2007</p>
<p>The restive Province of Anbar grabbed the headlines of world media recently. But the news, fortunately, was not related to the ongoing violence and ferocious resistance of U.S. occupation the province has been reputed for in the past four years.</p>
<p>Suddenly, world media focused their attention on significant oil reserves of 100 billion barrels. And where? In the western desert and specifically in Ramadi Province.</p>
<p>The reports ostensibly left no doubt that the province sits on gigantic oil fields which, if exploited, would place Iraq ahead of Saudi Arabia as he world’s top oil producer.</p>
<p>The reports were based on a study by energy analysts I.H.S.</p>
<p>The figures took Iraqi oil experts and analysts by surprise and they have their own reasons to be suspicious of the estimates and the timing of their announcement.</p>
<p>The Province of Anbar is Iraq’s largest, occupying 31.1 percent of Iraq’s area of 434,934 square kilometers.</p>
<p>The province, the scourge of U.S. invasion troops, is inhabited by 1.3 million people and more than 95 percent of its land is barren desert.</p>
<p>Iraq Petroleum Company (IPC) carried out seismic surveys of the province and dug numerous oil wells between 1955 and 1061.</p>
<p>The National oil Company made its own surveys which continued for over two decades and only came to a halt after the imposition of punitive U.N. trade sanctions in 1990.</p>
<p>During the same period major oil firms like ExxonMobil, Japex (Japan Petroleum Exploration), Ascom, Petronas and Repsol made extensive surveys through joint agreements signed with the Ministry of Oil.</p>
<p>The reports of all these surveys, which are part of the Oil Ministry’s archives, were discouraging and could not come up with categorical results that the western desert, that is the area falling within the provincial borders of Anbar, holds substantial oil or gas reserves.</p>
<p>That conclusion was substantiated by an article in MEES, the authoritative Middle East Economic Survey, in a report about the results of 2004 surveys by American geological groups which said the area’s oil reserves run between half a billion and one billion and a half of proven reserves.</p>
<p>Brushing all these findings aside, the U.S. energy analysts I.H.S., for reasons yet to be uncovered, reveals surprising and shocking figures of estimates totaling 100 billion barrels.</p>
<p>Who are we to believe? Is it logical and sane to doubt the surveys by IPC, the National Oil Company, giant foreign oil firms and recent surveys by U.S. groups and believe the I.H.S?</p>
<p>I.H.S. report smacks of politicization. It was written and made public with the aim of pacifying the violent and restive province by telling its rebellious population it is better for them to lay down their arms and make use of their oil riches under the new oil law and federal system.</p>
<p>But the powers that inspired the I.H.S. report forget that one major reason for the Iraqis frustration and disillusionment is the oil law in its current form and the federal system.</p>
<p>Whatever oil is there in Iraq belongs to Iraqis as a nation the fruits of which will have to be reaped by the country at large and not its federated provinces.</p>
<p>Note: The writer is an expert in Iraqi oil reserves and served as a director-general at the Oil Ministry.</p>
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